President Putin’s special mission to Ukraine, intended to last three days, has turned into a long and uncertain war for the same invader.
The firmness of Europe and the United States in supporting Ukraine to defend itself from the Russian invasion, together with the warlike capacity of the Ukrainian army, has forced a Russia in difficulty to launch an ordeal.
Y defensive scramble to prevent the Ukrainian counterattack from reconquering the territories hitherto achieved by Russia.
The joke consists of quickly holding farce referendums in the conquered territories that allow the Russian Federation to consider these territories Russian.
Once this objective has been achieved, Russia’s consequent intention would be to consider any Ukrainian attempt to reconquer an attack on the Russian Federation that would be defended with any type of available weapons, including nuclear ones.
The questions that derive from this Russian position are many:
Is Russia trying to force Ukraine into a negotiation? Does Putin want to end the war and keep what he has conquered by emphasizing nuclear fear?
If so, how will Ukraine and the West respond? Can Putin really imagine that Russia’s use of nuclear weapons would go without an equal and opposite response from the West?
In the Russian ‘establishment’, is Putin’s position still strong or is it in danger?
How will the hitherto neutral countries position themselves against the nuclear threat, particularly India? China’s first statements are indicative of a country’s position not in accordance with a possible escalation of the war to the point of nuclear.
It is clear that the issue is serious and that a new global balance is at stake, and the risk is a nuclear escalation from which no one would be spared.
I think that, as I wrote in one of my previous articles, perhaps the time has come for the United States, Europe itself and China to find a way to neutralize the unacceptable russian stance. It is clear that this will have a price for everyone, but, in my opinion, multiple reciprocal interests are at stake, geopolitical but also economic, which could restart the clock to the hour before the invasion.
For this but you need tables, leadership and long-term vision.